Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: With the election less than two weeks away there has been a great deal of speculation about the Latino community’s support for President Obama, particularly in Florida. Most recently, an Interactive Voice Response survey, or “robo-poll,” conducted on October 10-11 by Florida International University showed that 50.7%… Continue »

Yesterday, Mitt Romney’s health care advisor Avik Roy appeared on Up With Chris Hayes, where the conversation veered toward President Obama’s recent comments that if he wins a second term, it will have been because Republicans “have so alienated the fastest-growing demographic group in the country, the Latino community.” That means, Hayes said, that there… Continue »

It looks like Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R) of California’s 36th District is in trouble—this morning, Daily Kos has downgraded her tight Congressional race against Democrat Raul Ruiz from “Lean Republican” to “Tossup.”  As David Nir at Daily Kos wrote: Indeed, Bono Mack’s relationships with minority communities in her district seem to be a real… Continue »

Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll shows that Latinos are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote than ten weeks ago when the initial poll was fielded.  Forty-five percent of Latino voters say they are more enthusiastic about voting in 2012 compared to 2008.  That number is… Continue »

Rep. Steve King (R-IA) again promised that he would sue President Obama over his deferred action program (DACA) yesterday during his final debate against challenger Christie Vilsack (D). “I intend to follow through on that,” King responded to a question about whether he still had plans to file the lawsuit.  “I ran into a few… Continue »

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer this week decided to inject herself into the super-close Senate race between Rep. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) and former Surgeon General Richard Carmona (D), using her political action committee (JanPAC) to spend $100,000 printing and supporting mailers supporting Flake over Carmona. As Capitol Media Services reported yesterday: PAC spokesman Paul Senseman said his boss believes she… Continue »

Yesterday, we explained “the Harry Reid Effect” – when pre-election polls under-count the Latino vote in such a way that underestimates the actual standing of the candidates that Latinos support. The Reid Effect is caused by (a) methodological problems in pre-election polls that create a skewed Latino voter sample, which can lead to an under-representation of… Continue »

Yesterday, we explained “the Harry Reid Effect” – when pre-election polls underestimate the Latino vote in a way that underestimates the actual standing of the candidates they support. The Reid Effect is caused by (a) methodological problems in pre-election polls that create a skewed Latino voter sample, which can lead to an underrepresentation of Spanish-dominant… Continue »