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Latino Decisions

ICYMI: “Donald Trump Did Not Win 34% Of Latino Vote In Texas. He Won Much Less.”

Analysis of State Voting Data Continues to Show Strong Latino Support for Clinton, Contrary to National Exit Polls In a new Washington Post piece, Francisco Pedraza and Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta challenge the national exit poll claim that 29% of Hispanic voters nationally, and 34% in Texas, supported Donald Trump. Analyzing data from 4,372 precincts across Texas, covering all regions of … Continue reading »

ICYMI: “Why exit polls are wrong about Latino voters in Arizona”

Washington – In a new Arizona Republic piece, “Why exit polls are wrong about Latino voters in Arizona,” Stephen A. Nuño and Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta refute exit poll claims that 31% of Arizona Latinos cast votes in favor of Donald Trump. Relying on analysis of precincts – instead of counties – Nuño and Wilcox-Archuleta find that … Continue reading »

Caucus Chair Xavier Becerra To House Dems: “Exit Polls Misrepresent The Latino Vote”

After a year and a half of ugly rhetoric from Donald Trump, Latino voters turned out in historic numbers this past Presidential election — and they were decisively in Hillary Clinton’s corner, 79-18 according to expert pollsters Latino Decisions. It’s why the exit polling we’ve seen coming from by Edison Research — which gives Trump … Continue reading »

Why the Dispute over Latino Exit Poll Matters: Latinos Delivered in 2016 and One Exit Poll that Shows Otherwise Effectively Disenfranchises a Community at Risk

As we have noted, the controversy over accurate Latino polling is not a mere academic exercise or a story simply about methodology. At a time when the Latino and immigrant communities are vulnerable and fearful in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s election, an accurate assessment of the community’s preferences in the 2016 elections and its electoral … Continue reading »

Latino Vote Share in 2016: How a Myth Becomes a “Fact”

Latinos turned out in record numbers this election, and supported Clinton over Trump by an historic margin (79% to 18%). Unfortunately, a faulty exit poll number is undermining Latinos’ strong performance this cycle. The exit poll is just one survey, it is not actual results  It is not fact, it is a survey providing an … Continue reading »

ICYMI: Pilar Marrero and La Opinión Understand the Latino Community – and Understand Why Exit Polls of Latinos Missed the Mark

Earlier today, we highlighted how leading English language media outlets and observers were recognizing that the national exit polls failed to accurately capture Latino voters’ record turnout and margins on behalf of Hillary Clinton in the 2016 elections.  We also want to highlight the work of a leading Latina journalist – Pilar Marrero of La Opinión – who gets … Continue reading »

Why it Matters that National Exit Polls (Again) Missed Latinos

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely on the national exit poll numbers … Continue reading »

The Rundown on Latino Voter Election Eve Polling and Latino Exit Polls

On a press call and webinar held today, Matt Barreto, UCLA Professor of Political Science and Chicano Studies, and Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, presented the results of the Latino Decisions Election Eve poll. The key finding: Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin.  Barreto also highlighted why the national exit polls miss the mark … Continue reading »

Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By Historic 79-18% Margin Nationwide; Asian American Vote Shows Strong Democratic Support in 8 Key States

Below are key candidate questions for the nationwide and state specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Earlier installments of the release, on key issues and voting process, are available HERE for the Latino poll. Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow. Below are key findings on … Continue reading »

California Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By 80-16% Margin; Asian Americans Support Clinton Over Trump By 79-13%

Below are key candidate questions for the California-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In California, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 80-16% margin. Bycomparison, in Latino Decisions’ … Continue reading »