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election 2018

ICYMI: Pollster Stan Greenberg on Why Trump’s Xenophobia May Backfire Again in 2020

New Conventional Wisdom Now Aligns with Previous AV Polling & Analysis In a provocative New York Times op-ed, Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg marshals public opinion data and the recent lessons from the 2018 midterms to make the case that the Republican Party is headed toward defeat in 2020. The piece includes a detailed exploration of … Continue reading »

Ahead of Primary Debate, New Data Shows How Latinos Will Shape the 2020 Election

Key Insights Nationally and in Arizona, Nevada and Texas, view the report online here. A recording of today’s call is available here. Ahead of this week’s Democratic presidential debate in Houston at Texas Southern University, experts today provided analysis on new and recent data on Latino voters, both from the results of the 2018 midterms … Continue reading »

Polling Drives Seachange in Conventional Wisdom: Immigration Shifts from “Third Rail” to “Moves the Needle”

New data from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Cook Political Report find that the immigration issue helps Democrats and hurts Trump with 2020 swing voters. Kaiser and Cook find immigration as among the top issues that move swing voters — yes, swing voters —  towards Democrats. This is yet another data point indicating that … Continue reading »

How is Trump Going to Win in 2020 on Immigration When Strong Majorities Oppose Him on Immigration?

“Trump may believe he is the chosen one, but these numbers don’t lie.” President Trump clearly believes immigration should be the central issue in his reelection strategy. Stephen Miller clearly concurs. And many pundits seem to agree, believing Trump must have some special insight into the electorate on the issue, given that he won in … Continue reading »

Reuters/Ipsos Poll Joins Other Studies in Finding Americans Have Grown More Pro-Immigrant in Trump Era

President Trump, Stephen Miller, and hardline anti-immigrant allies have forced a referendum on immigration and immigrants in America. And it seems they are losing. A new Reuters/Ipsos poll is the latest study that captures how Americans are increasingly rejecting the Trump/Miller vision and embracing pragmatic pro-immigrant policies. The massive Reuters/Ipsos poll of more than 4,000 … Continue reading »

New Polls: On Immigration, Strong Majorities Oppose Trump’s Cruelty, Support Positive Solutions

With Trump determined to make racism and xenophobia the animating force of his effort to hold onto political power, two new polls show he is swimming upstream against public opinion.  The Pew poll’s highlights show broad support for pragmatic policies: treat Central Americans with dignity; give them the chance to make their case before a … Continue reading »

Is Trump’s Reliance on Racism and Xenophobia Working? Voters in Fox News Poll Say No

Newswhip analysis and political reporters agree It’s now clear as crystal. Racial incitement and xenophobia will be the animating force of President Trump’s 2020 re-election effort. Trump believes it was the key to his 2016 victory. However, in 2018, xenophobia backfired badly on the GOP after Trump – and most Republican candidates – closed with … Continue reading »

Righteous Outrage and Real Solutions: Democrats and Americans Support A Better Way Than Trump’s Treatment of Refugees and Immigrants

“Sharing the rights and responsibilities of citizenship is a value that spans America and Americans, regardless of party or partisanship.” Douglas Rivlin As President Trump gets ready for his tanks and airplane-filled ego trip on the National Mall, millions of Americans are rightfully outraged about the human rights crisis on display in detention facilities and … Continue reading »

New Polling: As Trump Administration Calls on SCOTUS to End DACA, Reminders that American People are 4:1 in Favor of Dreamers’ Citizenship

CNN’s Ariane de Vogue reports that the Trump administration Department of Justice is calling on the U.S. Supreme Court to hear a Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) case as soon as possible – seeking to officially end the popular and successful program. Meanwhile, new polling from Global Strategy Group and released today by FWD.us … Continue reading »

Texas Sec. of State David Whitley Resigns After Efforts to Disenfranchise Texas Voters

“Whitley’s resignation shows that times are changing in the Lone Star State.” – Mario Carrillo Austin – In a significant move, Texas Senate Democrats blocked the nomination of David Whitley as Secretary of State. As acting Secretary, Whitley implemented a voter purge that targeted new U.S. citizens and was met with ferocious backlash from voting … Continue reading »