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New Conventional Wisdom Now Aligns with Previous AV Polling & Analysis In a provocative New York Times op-ed, Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg marshals public opinion data and the recent lessons from the 2018 midterms to make the case that the Republican Party is headed toward defeat in 2020. The piece includes a detailed exploration of … Continue reading »

Key Insights Nationally and in Arizona, Nevada and Texas, view the report online here. A recording of today’s call is available here. Ahead of this week’s Democratic presidential debate in Houston at Texas Southern University, experts today provided analysis on new and recent data on Latino voters, both from the results of the 2018 midterms … Continue reading »

New data from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Cook Political Report find that the immigration issue helps Democrats and hurts Trump with 2020 swing voters. Kaiser and Cook find immigration as among the top issues that move swing voters — yes, swing voters —  towards Democrats. This is yet another data point indicating that … Continue reading »

“Trump may believe he is the chosen one, but these numbers don’t lie.” President Trump clearly believes immigration should be the central issue in his reelection strategy. Stephen Miller clearly concurs. And many pundits seem to agree, believing Trump must have some special insight into the electorate on the issue, given that he won in … Continue reading »

President Trump, Stephen Miller, and hardline anti-immigrant allies have forced a referendum on immigration and immigrants in America. And it seems they are losing. A new Reuters/Ipsos poll is the latest study that captures how Americans are increasingly rejecting the Trump/Miller vision and embracing pragmatic pro-immigrant policies. The massive Reuters/Ipsos poll of more than 4,000 … Continue reading »