Oct 26, 2012
Yesterday, we explained “the Harry Reid Effect” – when pre-election polls under-count the Latino vote in such a way that underestimates the actual standing of the candidates that Latinos support. The Reid Effect is caused by (a) methodological problems in pre-election polls that create a skewed Latino voter sample, which...
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After Arizona passed the viciously anti-immigrant law SB 1070, raising questions about whether the state was legalizing racial profiling, Congressman Brian Bilbray (R-CA) jumped into the fray by claiming that police officers wouldn’t have to resort to race in order to identify undocumented immigrants. “They will look at the kind...
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When Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) awoke on Election Day 2010, he was, in the words of Tom Kludt of Talking Points Memo, “a goner.” As Kludt explains: In the dying embers of the 2010 midterms, the Senate majority leader appeared to be on the ropes. Polls from...
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Cross-posted at Latino Decisions, Latino Vote Matters, and Daily Kos: Hispanics are now the largest minority group in the United States at 16.5 percent of the population and are one of the most sought after groups of voters in swing areas across the country. However, surveys reveal that Hispanics,...
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With Latino voters playing such a critical role in the 2012 political cycle, we offer some important numbers regarding Latino voter projections, Latino polling and methodology, and the relationship between Latino voter behavior and immigration: 74% to 26%: Latino Decisions’ LD Vote Predict projection tool now predicts that President...
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In newly released comments from his previously off-the-record conversation with the Des Moines Register editorial board, President Obama unequivocally makes the case for immigration reform as a priority for 2013, while also recognizing that Latino voters’ support will have been decisive if he is able to win re-election. President...
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Cross-posted at Latino Vote Matters, Latino Decisions, and Daily Kos: While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (week 6 of the tracking poll), effects of a poor debate performance by President Obama have been minimal. Furthermore, we find...
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The National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) held a briefing on the impact of the Latino vote in 2012 and beyond this morning, and we attended the event so that we could live-tweet. Arturo Vargas, the executive director of NALEO Educational Fund, was there to moderate...
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In an interview with Spanish news agency EFE yesterday, Otto Reich, a Mitt Romney campaign surrogate for Latin America, attributed Romney’s low level of support among Latino voters to his belief that Latino voters “are not well informed.” Reich further lamented that “We’re not communicating (with those voters) as we should”...
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There are just two weeks left until Election Day and the Educating Maryland Kids campaign supporting Question 4 and the state DREAM Act is in full gear. We received this update from the campaign, highlighting the upcoming events this week that will rally in favor of the Maryland DREAM Act...
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