Polling

Latinos turned out in record numbers this election, and supported Clinton over Trump by an historic margin (79% to 18%). Unfortunately, a faulty exit poll number is undermining Latinos’ strong performance this cycle. The exit poll is just one survey, it is not actual results  It is not fact,... Continue »

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely... Continue »

And how exit polling is likely to get the Latino vote wrong, too Many are surprised by the high turnout rates and evident determination of Latino voters to make their voice heard in this election. There are a number of factors for this surge: the growth of the Latino... Continue »

On a press call today, pollsters and experts on the Latino and AAPI electorates discussed why the national exit polls and many pre-election polls rely on methods that fail to accurately capture these subsets of the American electorate. The speakers also announced key details about 2016 Latino and AAPI... Continue »

Last week, we cautioned about the effects of faulty polling of Latinos in battleground states on pre-election predictions and post-election analyses. In a new piece for Univision, David Adams outlines pollsters’ common mistakes when interviewing Latino voters, including small sample sizes and targeting the ““wrong Latinos”…By not offering interviews in Spanish and... Continue »