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CA and NY Analyses of Latino Vote: Exit Polls Got it Wrong

Pieces in LA Times and NY Daily News Highlight New Precinct-Level Analyses in California and New York Find that Edison Exit Polls Overestimated Latino Support for Trump Two new op-eds detail precinct-level analyses of how the Latino electorate in California and New York actually voted in 2016, adding powerful evidence to the argument that the Edison exit polls overestimated … Continue reading »

ICYMI: “Donald Trump Did Not Win 34% Of Latino Vote In Texas. He Won Much Less.”

Analysis of State Voting Data Continues to Show Strong Latino Support for Clinton, Contrary to National Exit Polls In a new Washington Post piece, Francisco Pedraza and Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta challenge the national exit poll claim that 29% of Hispanic voters nationally, and 34% in Texas, supported Donald Trump. Analyzing data from 4,372 precincts across Texas, covering all regions of … Continue reading »

Why the Dispute over Latino Exit Poll Matters: Latinos Delivered in 2016 and One Exit Poll that Shows Otherwise Effectively Disenfranchises a Community at Risk

As we have noted, the controversy over accurate Latino polling is not a mere academic exercise or a story simply about methodology. At a time when the Latino and immigrant communities are vulnerable and fearful in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s election, an accurate assessment of the community’s preferences in the 2016 elections and its electoral … Continue reading »

Why it Matters that National Exit Polls (Again) Missed Latinos

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely on the national exit poll numbers … Continue reading »

The Rundown on Latino Voter Election Eve Polling and Latino Exit Polls

On a press call and webinar held today, Matt Barreto, UCLA Professor of Political Science and Chicano Studies, and Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, presented the results of the Latino Decisions Election Eve poll. The key finding: Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin.  Barreto also highlighted why the national exit polls miss the mark … Continue reading »

Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By Historic 79-18% Margin Nationwide; Asian American Vote Shows Strong Democratic Support in 8 Key States

Below are key candidate questions for the nationwide and state specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Earlier installments of the release, on key issues and voting process, are available HERE for the Latino poll. Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow. Below are key findings on … Continue reading »

California Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By 80-16% Margin; Asian Americans Support Clinton Over Trump By 79-13%

Below are key candidate questions for the California-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In California, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 80-16% margin. Bycomparison, in Latino Decisions’ … Continue reading »

Nevada Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By 81-16% Margin; Asian Americans Support Clinton Over Trump By 60-34%

Below are key candidate questions for the Nevada-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In Nevada, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 81-16% margin. By comparison, in Latino Decisions’ … Continue reading »

Arizona Latinos Back Clinton Over Trump By 84-12% Margin; Maricopa Co. Latinos Vote Against Arpaio 91-9%

Below are key candidate questions for the Arizona-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In Arizona, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 84-12% margin. By comparison, in Latino Decisions’ 2012 … Continue reading »

Wisconsin Latino Voters Back Clinton Over Trump By 87-10% Margin

Below are key candidate questions for the Wisconsin-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HEREstarting tomorrow.  In Wisconsin, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 87-10% margin. Nationwide, Latino voters … Continue reading »