Below are key candidate questions for the nationwide and state specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Earlier installments of the release, on key issues and voting process, are available HERE for the Latino poll. Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow. Below are key findings on candidate matchups:
Latino voters support Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a historically lopsided 79-18% margin nationwide – a 4:1 margin. By comparison, President Obama defeated Mitt Romney among Latino voters by a 75%-23% margin, according to Latino Decisions 2012 Election Eve polling – a 3:1 margin. The head-to-head candidate margins in states were as follows: AZ (84-12%); CA (80-16%); CO (81-16%); FL (67-31%); IL (86-10%); NC (81-16%); NY (88-10%); OH (80-17%); TX (80-16%); VA (81-15%); and WI (87-10%).
Asian American voters backed Clinton over Trump by a wide margin in the following states: CA (79-13%); FL (72-23%); IL (84-12%); NC (73-22%); NV (60-34%); PA (83-15%); TX (73-19%); and VA (78-21%).
Latinos overwhelmingly backed Democratic candidates in a generic House ballot question. In a question gauging support for an unnamed Democratic or Republican candidate in respondents’ districts, Latino voters nationwide supported Democratic House candidates over Republican House candidates by a 84-15% margin.
In 2016 Senate contests, Latino voters’ support broke down as follows:
AZ: 70-28% for Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick over Republican John McCain
CA: 57-37% for Democrat Loretta Sanchez over Democrat Kamala Harris
CO: 80-17% for Democrat Michael Bennet over Republican Darryl Glenn
FL: 56-40% for Democrat Patrick Murphy over Republican Marco Rubio
IL: 81-13% for Democrat Tammy Duckworth over Republican Mark Kirk
NC: 77-21% for Democrat Deborah Ross over Republican Richard Burr
NV: 79-19% for Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto over Republican Joe Heck
NY: 87-7% for Democrat Chuck Schumer over Republican Wendy Long
OH: 69-28% for Democrat Ted Strickland over Republican Rob Portman
WI: 81-17% for Democrat Russ Feingold over Republican Ron Johnson
In 2016 Senate contests, Asian American voters’ support broke down as follows:
CA: 69-29% for Democrat Kamala Harris over Democrat Loretta Sanchez
FL: 67-33% for Democrat Patrick Murphy over Republican Marco Rubio
IL: 78-21% for Democrat Tammy Duckworth over Republican Mark Kirk
NC: 72-28% for Democrat Deborah Ross over Republican Richard Burr
NV: 60-39% for Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto over Republican Joe Heck
PA: 77-24% for Democrat Katie McGinty over Republican Pat Toomey
The 5,600 person Latino election eve poll, conducted by Latino Decisions and sponsored by America’s Voice, SEIU, Mi Familia Vota, NCLR, and Latino Victory Project, includes both national figures and results from these twelve target states: AZ, CA, CO, FL, IL, NC, NV, NY, OH, TX, VA, and WI. The 2,400 person Asian American election eve poll, sponsored by AAPI Civic Engagement Fund, Service Employees International Union (SEIU), Asian Americans Advancing Justice-Los Angeles, Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund, and the National Education Association (NEA) includes both national figures and results from these eight target states: CA, FL, IL, NV, NC, PA, VA, and TX.