Pieces in LA Times and NY Daily News Highlight New Precinct-Level Analyses in California and New York Find that Edison Exit Polls Overestimated Latino Support for Trump Two new op-eds detail precinct-level analyses of how the Latino electorate in California and New York actually voted in 2016, adding powerful evidence to the argument that the Edison exit polls overestimated… Continue »

Analysis of State Voting Data Continues to Show Strong Latino Support for Clinton, Contrary to National Exit Polls In a new Washington Post piece, Francisco Pedraza and Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta challenge the national exit poll claim that 29% of Hispanic voters nationally, and 34% in Texas, supported Donald Trump. Analyzing data from 4,372 precincts across Texas, covering all regions of… Continue »

As we have noted, the controversy over accurate Latino polling is not a mere academic exercise or a story simply about methodology. At a time when the Latino and immigrant communities are vulnerable and fearful in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s election, an accurate assessment of the community’s preferences in the 2016 elections and its electoral… Continue »

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely on the national exit poll numbers… Continue »

On a press call and webinar held today, Matt Barreto, UCLA Professor of Political Science and Chicano Studies, and Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, presented the results of the Latino Decisions Election Eve poll. The key finding: Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin.  Barreto also highlighted why the national exit polls miss the mark… Continue »

Below are key candidate questions for the nationwide and state specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Earlier installments of the release, on key issues and voting process, are available HERE for the Latino poll. Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow. Below are key findings on… Continue »

Below are key candidate questions for the California-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In California, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 80-16% margin. Bycomparison, in Latino Decisions’… Continue »

Below are key candidate questions for the Nevada-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In Nevada, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 81-16% margin. By comparison, in Latino Decisions’… Continue »

Below are key candidate questions for the Arizona-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HERE starting tomorrow.  In Arizona, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 84-12% margin. By comparison, in Latino Decisions’ 2012… Continue »

Below are key candidate questions for the Wisconsin-specific Latino and Asian American election eve polls, conducted by Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions. Full toplines and crosstabs available HERE for the Latino poll; Asian American poll findings will be posted online HEREstarting tomorrow.  In Wisconsin, Latino voters back Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 87-10% margin. Nationwide, Latino voters… Continue »