On the Eve of Vital Presidential Primaries, GOP Demographic Landscape in Shambles
Donald Trump is the likely Republican nominee. His reputation as a nativist extremist is likely to hurt the Republican Party’s general election prospects. Consider these facts:
- New Gallup polling finds that Latino voters overwhelmingly view Donald Trump negatively – by a whopping 12% favorable to 77% unfavorable margin.
- Even among the subset of Republican Latino respondents, Trump has a 2:1 negative favorability – 31% favorable to 60% unfavorable.
- The new Gallup numbers echo those from a recent Washington Post/Univision poll of Latino voters, which found that 80% of Latinos have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, with 72% saying “very unfavorable.”
- According to 2012 Election Eve polling from Latino Decisions, the largest-ever Latino electorate supported President Obama over Mitt Romney by a whopping 75%- 23% margin (71%-27% according to media-sponsored network exit polling).
- Given the increase in the number and share of Latino voters expected to vote in the 2016 general electorate, Latino Decisions estimates that the Republican nominee will need to win between 42-47% of Latinos to win the 2016 presidential popular vote.
According to Frank Sharry, Executive Director of America’s Voice, “Back in 2013 the Republican National Committee declared themselves interested in expanding their appeal among Latinos and Asian-Americans, and called on the party to enact comprehensive immigration reform. Today in 2016 most Republicans are watching in horror – and in silence – as their Party careens towards a general election scenario that could make its 2012 disaster with Latino voters look quaint by comparison.”
