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Polling

Latino Vote Share in 2016: How a Myth Becomes a “Fact”

Latinos turned out in record numbers this election, and supported Clinton over Trump by an historic margin (79% to 18%). Unfortunately, a faulty exit poll number is undermining Latinos’ strong performance this cycle. The exit poll is just one survey, it is not actual results  It is not fact, it is a survey providing an … Continue reading »

ICYMI: Pilar Marrero and La Opinión Understand the Latino Community – and Understand Why Exit Polls of Latinos Missed the Mark

Earlier today, we highlighted how leading English language media outlets and observers were recognizing that the national exit polls failed to accurately capture Latino voters’ record turnout and margins on behalf of Hillary Clinton in the 2016 elections.  We also want to highlight the work of a leading Latina journalist – Pilar Marrero of La Opinión – who gets … Continue reading »

Why it Matters that National Exit Polls (Again) Missed Latinos

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely on the national exit poll numbers … Continue reading »

2016 Latino and Asian American Election Eve Poll Findings: Immigration Top Issue for Latinos; Economy & Jobs Top Issue for Asian Americans

Below are select results on key issues and voting process questions released as part of the first installment of the Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions election eve national and state polls. More details will be released as part of a 4 PM ET/1 PM PT press call this afternoon and full state data and national … Continue reading »

How Bad Polling of Latino Voters Contributed to the Surprise Regarding the Surge of Latino Voters

And how exit polling is likely to get the Latino vote wrong, too Many are surprised by the high turnout rates and evident determination of Latino voters to make their voice heard in this election. There are a number of factors for this surge: the growth of the Latino community; the hard work and sustained … Continue reading »

2016 National and Target State Latino and Asian American Election Eve Polls Set for Release in Multiple Installments

*** Latino & Asian American Voter Election Eve Poll to Be Released in Multiple Installments*** Releases Throughout Election Day (2pm EST/11am PT and 4pm EST/1pm PT) Candidate Questions Released as Polls Close in Individual States (starting 7pm EST/4pm PT and ending at 11pm EST/8pm PT)  Wed 11/9: Webinar on Latino poll and election results 1PM EST/10AM PT; Webinar on … Continue reading »

Latino Decisions and Asian American Decisions Election Eve Polling to Be Most Accurate Source for Latino and AAPI Choices This Cycle

On a press call today, pollsters and experts on the Latino and AAPI electorates discussed why the national exit polls and many pre-election polls rely on methods that fail to accurately capture these subsets of the American electorate. The speakers also announced key details about 2016 Latino and AAPI election eve polling, being conducted nationally … Continue reading »

2016 National and Target State Latino and AAPI Election Eve Polls Set for Release in Multiple Installments

 *** Latino & AAPI Voter Election Eve Poll to Be Released in Multiple Installments*** Releases Throughout Election Day (2pm EST/11am PT and 4pm EST/1pm PT) Candidate Questions Released as Polls Close in Individual States (starting 7pm EST/4pm PT and ending at 11pm EST/8pm PT) Wed 11/9: Webinar on Latino poll and election results 1PM EST/10AM PT; Webinar on AAPI … Continue reading »

ICYMI: David Adams: “Do Polls Underestimate The Democratic Party’s Latino Vote?”

Last week, we cautioned about the effects of faulty polling of Latinos in battleground states on pre-election predictions and post-election analyses. In a new piece for Univision, David Adams outlines pollsters’ common mistakes when interviewing Latino voters, including small sample sizes and targeting the ““wrong Latinos”…By not offering interviews in Spanish and relying on interviews via internet and … Continue reading »

New Pew Poll: Americans Back Legalization Over Deportation 80-18% – An All-Time High

Even Trump Voters Support “Stay” over “Go” By 2:1 New polling from Pew Research finds that by a 4:1 margin Americans support a policy that allows undocumented immigrants to stay legally over a policy that does not allow undocumented immigrants to stay legally.  Since Pew began asking this question in 2013, this is the highest level of … Continue reading »