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Exit Poll

CA and NY Analyses of Latino Vote: Exit Polls Got it Wrong

Pieces in LA Times and NY Daily News Highlight New Precinct-Level Analyses in California and New York Find that Edison Exit Polls Overestimated Latino Support for Trump Two new op-eds detail precinct-level analyses of how the Latino electorate in California and New York actually voted in 2016, adding powerful evidence to the argument that the Edison exit polls overestimated … Continue reading »

Caucus Chair Xavier Becerra To House Dems: “Exit Polls Misrepresent The Latino Vote”

After a year and a half of ugly rhetoric from Donald Trump, Latino voters turned out in historic numbers this past Presidential election — and they were decisively in Hillary Clinton’s corner, 79-18 according to expert pollsters Latino Decisions. It’s why the exit polling we’ve seen coming from by Edison Research — which gives Trump … Continue reading »

ICYMI: Pilar Marrero and La Opinión Understand the Latino Community – and Understand Why Exit Polls of Latinos Missed the Mark

Earlier today, we highlighted how leading English language media outlets and observers were recognizing that the national exit polls failed to accurately capture Latino voters’ record turnout and margins on behalf of Hillary Clinton in the 2016 elections.  We also want to highlight the work of a leading Latina journalist – Pilar Marrero of La Opinión – who gets … Continue reading »

Why it Matters that National Exit Polls (Again) Missed Latinos

Latinos Delivered, Yet Erroneous Exit Polls Unfairly Diminish Their Impact Latino voters showed up in record numbers and delivered record margins on behalf of Democratic candidates in 2016. Per the Latino Decisions election eve poll, Latinos backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a 78-19% margin. However, if you rely on the national exit poll numbers … Continue reading »

Updated: In 18 of 20 GOP Primary Exit Polls, Republican Voters Support Legalization over Deportation

Republican exit polling from Indiana’s primary asked two questions relevant to immigration policy and politics: Indiana Republicans supported offering undocumented immigrants “a chance to apply for legal status” instead of deportation by a 52% – 45% margin Indiana Republican voters ranked immigration lowest among the four “most important issues” tested Adding yesterday’s results to the earlier primary state … Continue reading »

The Disconnect on Immigration Between Trump’s Success & Pro-Legalization Exit Polling in GOP Primaries

In Donald Trump, the Republican Party seems on track to nominate a candidate running the most explicitly nativist and anti-immigrant campaign in recent American history. Simultaneously, Republican primary exit polling in state after state is demonstrating that, despite the front-runner’s obsession with this issue, among the electorate it ranks last in a list of four top priorities and in … Continue reading »