With Trump’s 2020 re-election campaign set to lean heavily on a strategy of race-baiting and nativism, a new AP/NORC poll is the latest reminder that a hefty majority of the American public strongly disapproves of Trump’s handling of both race relations and immigration issues. Race relations When asked “do...
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New Conventional Wisdom Now Aligns with Previous AV Polling & Analysis In a provocative New York Times op-ed, Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg marshals public opinion data and the recent lessons from the 2018 midterms to make the case that the Republican Party is headed toward defeat in 2020. The...
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Key Insights Nationally and in Arizona, Nevada and Texas, view the report online here. A recording of today’s call is available here. Ahead of this week’s Democratic presidential debate in Houston at Texas Southern University, experts today provided analysis on new and recent data on Latino voters, both from...
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New data from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Cook Political Report find that the immigration issue helps Democrats and hurts Trump with 2020 swing voters. Kaiser and Cook find immigration as among the top issues that move swing voters — yes, swing voters — towards Democrats. This is...
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“Trump may believe he is the chosen one, but these numbers don’t lie.” President Trump clearly believes immigration should be the central issue in his reelection strategy. Stephen Miller clearly concurs. And many pundits seem to agree, believing Trump must have some special insight into the electorate on the...
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President Trump, Stephen Miller, and hardline anti-immigrant allies have forced a referendum on immigration and immigrants in America. And it seems they are losing. A new Reuters/Ipsos poll is the latest study that captures how Americans are increasingly rejecting the Trump/Miller vision and embracing pragmatic pro-immigrant policies. The massive...
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With Trump determined to make racism and xenophobia the animating force of his effort to hold onto political power, two new polls show he is swimming upstream against public opinion. The Pew poll’s highlights show broad support for pragmatic policies: treat Central Americans with dignity; give them the chance...
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Newswhip analysis and political reporters agree It’s now clear as crystal. Racial incitement and xenophobia will be the animating force of President Trump’s 2020 re-election effort. Trump believes it was the key to his 2016 victory. However, in 2018, xenophobia backfired badly on the GOP after Trump – and...
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